Scots Positive About Vote

Turnout at the upcoming Scottish elections may not be as poor as some have predicted. A survey by MORI Scotland for the Scottish Daily Mail suggests the turnout of 58% in 1999 -- the first elections for the new Parliament -- may be matched this time. Three in five (59%) say they are absolutely certain to turn out at the election on 1 May 2003.

According to the survey, Labour support is holding firm with indications it is the SNP and Liberal Democrat support that might suffer. The dramatic change is in support for the smaller parties, with the Scottish Socialist and Green parties both looking like they will pick up four or more seats from the Regional list, proportional representation, element of the election.

Technical Details

MORI Scotland interviewed a total of 1,017 adults aged 18+ throughout Scotland by telephone on 25-27 April 2003. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

Final Weekend Scottish Election Poll 2003

As you may know, you will have two votes in the election for the Scottish Parliament on the 1st of May. The first is for a named candidate standing in your area, just like in a General Election. The other vote is for a party, and people will be elected from lists that the parties put forward, according to the share of all the votes that each party wins.

Q1a Thinking about the first vote, which party's candidate will you vote for on the 1st of May? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED ASK Q1b Q1b Which party's candidate are you most inclined to support?

Q2a And now, thinking about the second vote that you will have, to elect people from lists that the parties will put forward, which party list will you vote for on the 1st of May? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED ASK Q2b Q2b Which party are you most inclined to support?

Q3 And how likely are you to vote in the Scottish Parliament election on 1st May, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you are absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you are absolutely certain not to vote?

Q4 From what you remember, did you vote in the last election for the Scottish Parliament, in May 1999?

Q5 Overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with what the Scottish Parliament has done for Scotland since it was established in 1999?

Q6 Regardless of which party you tend to support, which of the following party leaders, if any, has most impressed you during the current election campaign?

Q7 Do you think there should or should not be a referendum held to measure the level of public support for full Scottish independence from the United Kingdom?

Q8 If there were a referendum, would you vote for a devolved Scotland within the United Kingdom, as at present, or for a fully independent Scotland?