Times 2001 Campaign Polls Wave 1

Public Sector

MORI's first weekly poll for The Times of the 2001 election campaign

 
  • MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,046 adults aged 18+ at 75 sampling points across Great Britain
  • Interviews were conducted face-to-face on 8th May 2001
  • Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
  • Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
  • An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
  • Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Times

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on June 7th? [If undecided or refused at Q1] Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All respondents 18+ 1,046

Conservative 30%
Labour 54%
Liberal Democrats 13%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 2%
Green Party 1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party 1%
Other 1%
Would not vote 10%
Undecided 13%
Refused 2%

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote at the next Election? Base: All respondents 18+ 1,046

  %
Certain to vote 46
Very likely to vote 19
Quite likely to vote 15
Not very likely to vote 8
Certain not to vote 11
Don't know 2

Q4 How strongly do you support the … party? Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
  (798) (226) (442) (96)
Very strongly 21 18 24 8
Fairly strongly 51 55 48 56
Not very strongly 23 21 24 29
Not strongly at all 4 6 3 7
Don't know * 1 1 0
Strongly 72 73 72 64
Not strongly 27 27 27 36
Net strongly (±) +45 +46 +45 +28

Q5 Have you definitely decided to vote for the …. party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party

  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
  (798) (226) (442) (96)
Definitely decided 65 66 69 42
May change mind 32 32 28 54
Don't know 3 3 4 4

Q6 If you do change your mind about voting for the … party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All respondents 18+ who may change mind

  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
  (250) (69)* (120) (51)*
Conservative 14 0 23 14
Labour 21 28 0 56
Liberal Democrats 27 27 40 0
Scottish/Welsh Nationalists 3 0 5 2
Green Party 2 0 4 0
Democratic Party/UKIP/Referendum Party 2 3 1 0
Other 2 2 1 3
None of them/Would not vote 4 6 4 1
Don't know 26 33 23 25

NB Small base sizes

Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,046)

  %
Blair 52
Hague 13
Kennedy 9
Don't know 26

Q8-11 Thinking of the … Party, please pick one statement from each section on this card according to which best reflects your behaviour and opinions with respect to the … Party. Base: All respondents 18+

a) Voting Con Lab Lib Dem SNP
  % % % %
  (1,046) (1,046) (1,046) (99)
I have never voted for them and never will 39 24 49 46
I have never voted for them but probably will in the future 13 17 23 14
I have voted for them in the past but never will again 10 8 4 5
I have voted for them in the past and will probably do so again 25 31 14 19
I have always voted for them and I always will 6 15 2 5
Don't know/no opinion 5 5 9 11

If they were in power how good or bad would they be at doing what is best for Britain?

b) Governing Britain Con Lab Lib Dem SNP
  % % % %
  (1,046) (1,046) (1,046) (99)
Very good 4 10 2 3
Fairly good 28 43 25 19
Neither good nor poor 26 25 37 33
Fairly poor 21 13 15 18
Very poor 15 6 7 19
Don't know /No opinion 6 4 14 8
c) Advocacy Con Lab Lib Dem SNP
  % % % %
  (1,046) (1,046) (1,046) (99)
I support the Party so much I encourage others to vote for it, without being asked 2 6 1 6
If someone asked my opinion I would encourage them to vote for the Party 10 17 7 9
If someone asked my opinion I would be neutral about voting for the Party 57 57 68 61
If someone asked my opinion I would discourage them from voting for the Party 16 11 11 18
I am so strongly opposed to the Party that I discourage others from voting for it without being asked 10 4 5 2
Don't know /No opinion 5 4 8 4

Q12 Do you think the Prime Minister should or should not have called the election for June 7th? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,046)

  %
Should 65
Should not 17
Don't know 18

Q13 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so. Base: All respondents 18+ (1,046)

Conservative 22%
Labour 42%
Liberal Democrats 9%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1%
Referendum Party 0%
Green Party *%
Other 1%
Did not vote 16%
Too young 4%
Can't remember 3%
Refused 2%

Q14 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,046)

  %
Yes, registered to vote in this constituency 95
Yes, registered to vote somewhere else 2
No, not registered to vote 2
Don't know 2

Q15 [As you may know, the government has changed the law so that registered voters can obtain a postal vote if they want one. They can do this by ringing their local council and asking for a postal vote, without having to be abroad on business or for some other specific reason.] Have you applied for a postal or proxy vote for the General Election, or do you intend to do so? Base: All respondents 18+ (1,046)

  All With preamble Without preamble
  % % %
  (1,046) (540) (506)
Yes, have applied for postal 2 2 2
Yes, have applied for proxy * * *
Yes, intend to apply for postal 4 4 4
Yes, intend to apply for proxy 1 1 1
No, neither 92 92 92
Don't know 1 1 0

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