New polling data from Ipsos in the UK, conducted 25–30 June 2026, reveals a shifting political landscape as Prime Minister Keir Starmer prepares to step down.
Ipsos's September Political Monitor shows the Conservative party on 52% and the Labour party on 24% among those saying they are "absolutely certain to vote", a Conservative lead of 28 points. This is both the highest Conservative lead ever recorded by Ipsos, and also the largest Conservative share we have ever recorded.
Ipsos's August Political Monitor, carried out by telephone between 15-17 August among 1,005 adults age 18 and over, shows the Conservative party on 48% and the Labour party on 24%, a Conservative lead of 24 points.
Ipsos's May Political Monitor (conducted 15-20 May 2008 among 1,006 GB adults age 18 and over) shows the Conservatives leading over Labour by thirteen points among those 'certain to vote' at an upcoming general election (45% compared to 32%).
Ipsos's April Political Monitor (conducted 17-22 April 2008) shows the Conservatives leading over Labour by nine points among those 'certain to vote' at an upcoming general election (40% compared to 31%).
Ipsos's February Political Monitor, carried out between 21 and 26 February, shows the Conservatives on 39%, Labour on 37% and the Liberal Democrats on 16%.