New polling data from Ipsos in the UK, conducted 25–30 June 2026, reveals a shifting political landscape as Prime Minister Keir Starmer prepares to step down.
Ipsos's July Political Monitor (carried out by telephone between 17-19 July among 1,012 British adults aged 18 and over) shows that among those absolutely certain to vote, the Conservative Party lead the Labour Party by 16 points.
Ipsos has published the February Political Monitor showing the Conservative Party with a 20 point lead over Labour, an increase of 6 points on last month.
Ipsos's January 2009 Political Monitor shows that among those absolutely certain to vote, the Conservative Party voting intention share has increased by five points to 44% since December 2008, and the Labour Party share has fallen (also by five points) to 30%.
Ipsos's December Political Monitor shows that among those absolutely certain to vote, the Conservative party voting intention share has dropped slightly by one point to 39% since our November Political Monitor, and the Labour party share has also fallen slightly by two points to 35%.
Ipsos's October Political Monitor shows that despite media speculation about a "bailout bounce", the Conservatives remain firmly in the lead with more than four in ten voters choosing them (45%), while Labour trails on 30%.
