Voting Intentions in Great Britain 1997-2002

Public Sector

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? (Ask those undecided / refused) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

 

This page shows the "headline" voting intention figures from all our published polls between the 1997 general election and October 2002.

Please note that our "headline" figures at this period were not calculated on the same basis as the ones we publish today: figures were based on the responses of all those giving a voting intention, regardless of how certain they were that they would vote. Since November 2002, our headline figure has been the voting intentions of those “absolutely certain to vote”; however, voting intentions from our polls since 2002 calculated on the same basis as used in the 1997-2002 period can be found here.

Most polls shown in the table were conducted with face-to-face interviewing; those conducted by telephone are marked with a (T).

1976-1987 | 1987-1997 | Since November 2002

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? (Ask those undecided / refused)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

1997 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
General election result (1 May) 31.4 44.4 17.2 7.0 +13
20-23 June 1997 24 58 15 1 * 2 +34
25-28 July 1997 23 57 15 1 * 4 +34
21-25 August 1997 28 54 15 * 1 2 +26
26-29 September 1997 25 59 13 * * 3 +34
24-27 October 1997 24 60 12 * * 3 +36
13-14 November 1997 (T) 30 56 11 1 * 2 +26
21-24 November 1997 24 56 16 1 * 3 +32
12-15 December 1997 26 55 15 1 * 4 +29

(T) = Telephone polls

1998 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
23-26 January 1998 28 54 14 1 * 3 +26
20-23 February 1998 28 52 15 1 * 4 +24
20-23 March 1998 28 53 14 1 * 4 +25
24-26 April 1998 (T) 30 54 13 *  * 3 +24
24-27 April 1998 27 55 14 1 * 3 +28
21-24 May 1998 26 55 14 1 0 4 +29
24-26 June 1998 (T) 28 51 15 1  * 5 +23
25-30 June 1998 27 56 13 1 * 4 +29
17-21 July 1998 28 53 14 1 1 4 +25
21-24 August 1998 28 52 14 1 0 5 +24
18-21 September 1998 24 56 15 1 * 3 +32
23-26 October 1998 26 53 16 1 * 4 +27
20-23 November 1998 29 53 13 1 * 3 +24
11-14 December 1998 27 54 12 1 * 5 +27

(T) = Telephone polls

1999 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Democratic/ UKIP/ Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
22-25 January 1999 24 56 14 1 * 5 +32
19-22 February 1999 30 51 14 * 1 4 +21
19-22 March 1999 27 54 13 1 * 4 +27
23-26 April 1999 25 56 13 1 1 4 +31
30 April - 1 May 1999 (T) 30 50 14 1 * 5 +20
21-24 May 1999 28 52 14 1 1 4 +24
18-21 June 1999 28 51 13 2 1 5 +23
23-26 July 1999 28 51 14 2 1 4 +23
20-23 August 1999 27 49 17 2 * 5 +22
9-11 September 1999 (T) 32 49 13 1 * 5 +17
24-27 September 1999 25 52 17 1 * 5 +27
13-14 October 1999 (T) 31 52 13 1 * 4 +21
22-25 October 1999 28 56 11 2 1 2 +28
8-10 November 1999 (T) 32 50 12 6 +18
19-22 November 1999 25 55 14 1 * 4 +30
10-14 December 1999 28 54 13 1 * 4 +26

(T) = Telephone polls

2000 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Democratic/ UKIP/ Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
20-25 January 2000 30 50 15 1 * 4 +20
25-27 January 2000 (T) 29 49 15 7 +20
17-22 February 2000 29 50 15 1 1 4 +21
23-28 March 2000 29 50 14 1 1 5 +21
13-18 April 2000 27 51 15 2 1 1 +24
17-19 May 2000 (T) 33 46 14 * 4 +13
18-23 May 2000 32 48 15 1 * 4 +16
8-9 June 2000 (T) 38 41 16 1 * 5 +3
22-23 June 2000 (T) 34 47 14 1 1 3 +13
22-27 June 2000 33 47 13 2 1 3 +14
29-30 June 2000 (T) 32 46 17 5 +14
12-14 July 2000 (T) 32 47 15 6 +15
20-22 July 2000 (T) 32 51 11 2 1 4 +19
20-24 July 2000 33 49 12 1 * 5 +16
17-18 August 2000 (T) 32 51 12 2 0 3 +19
17-21 August 2000 29 51 15 1 1 3 +22
14-15 September 2000 (T) 38 36 18 3 * 5 -2
14-19 September 2000 37 36 19 8 -1
21-22 September 2000 (T) 39 35 21 1 0 4 -4
21-26 September 2000 35 37 21 1 * 6 +2
29-30 September 2000 (T) 36 43 16 2 * 5 +7
13-14 October 2000 (T) 38 40 19 1 * 3 +2
19-23 October 2000 32 45 17 1 1 4 +13
2-3 November 2000 (T) 34 42 17 2 0 5 +8
24-25 November 2000 (T) 34 47 13 2 * 5 +13
23-28 November 2000 33 48 13 1 * 4 +15
7-12 December 2000 34 46 14 1 1 4 +12
13-15 December 2000 (T) 32 47 16 1 * 5 +15

(T) = Telephone polls

2001 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Democratic/ UKIP/ Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
4-6 January 2001 (T) 35 46 14 1 1 3 +11
11-13 January 2001 (T) 31 53 11 1 0 4 +22
18-22 January 2001 31 50 14 1 * 4 +19
25-26 January 2001 (T) 31 49 14 1 * 5 +18
15-20 February 2001 30 50 14 1 1 4 +20
22-27 March 2001 31 50 14 1 * 4 +19
30-31 March 2001 (T) 32 48 15 1 * 4 +16
10-12 April 2001 (T) 29 53 12 1 1 4 +24
19-24 April 2001 30 50 13 2 1 4 +20
30 April - 1 May 2001 (T) 32 50 13 2 * 3 +18
8 May 2001* 30 54 13 1 1 1 +24
10-12 May 2001* (T) 31 51 13 1 * 4 +20
10-14 May 2001* (T) 26 54 14 1 1 4 +28
15 May 2001* 28 54 12 1 * 5 +26
22 May 2001* 30 55 11 1 1 2 +25
29 May 2001* 30 48 16 1 2 3 +18
31 May - 2 June 2001** (T) 27 50 17 1 * 5 +23
4-5 June 2001** (T) 31 43 20 1 1 4 +12
5-6 June 2001*** 30 45 18 7 +15
General election result (7 June) 32.7 42.0 18.8 6.5 +9.3
21-26 June 2001 25 49 19 3 1 3 +24
19-23 July 2001 25 52 17 1 1 4 +27
23-28 August 2001 25 53 16 2 1 3 +28
20-25 September 2001 27 53 15 1 * 4 +26
18-22 October 2001 25 57 13 1 1 3 +32
22-27 November 2001 25 56 15 1 * 3 +31

* Asked as, "How do you intend to vote in the General Election on June 7th?" **Asked as "How do you intend to vote in your constituency at the General Election on June 7th?" ***Asked as, "How do you intend to vote in the General Election on Thursday?" (T) = Telephone polls

2002 Conservative Labour Lib Dem Green Democratic/ UKIP/ Referendum Other Lab lead
  % % % % % % ± %
24-28 January 2002 27 51 16 1 * 5 +24
21-26 February 2002 28 51 16 1 * 4 +23
21-26 March 2002 28 47 19 1 0 5 +19
18-22 April 2002 27 50 16 1 1 5 +23
23-28 May 2002 30 46 17 2 1 4 +16
20-24 June 2002 29 48 17 1 * 5 +19
18-22 July 2002 27 48 18 1 * 4 +21
22-28 August 2002 25 53 16 2 * 4 +28
19-24 September 2002 27 53 15 1 * 4 +26
17-21 October 2002 25 57 13 1 1 3 +32

(T) = Telephone polls

"Headline" Voting Intentions November 2002-present (Based on those "absolutely certain to vote") Voting Intentions based on all responding November 2002-present (The same basis as the figures in this table)

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