Nearly eight in ten expect U.S. military involvement in Iran to continue for extended period
Nearly eight in ten expect U.S. military involvement in Iran to continue for extended period

Nearly eight in ten expect U.S. military involvement in Iran to continue for extended period

More Americans expect gas prices in U.S. and stability in the Middle East to get worse rather than better over the next year

Washington, D.C., July 13, 2026 – Amid the resumption of U.S. military strikes in Iran, 79% of Americans say they expect U.S. military involvement in Iran to go on for an extended period of time, according to a new Ipsos poll conducted July 10-12. The view that the U.S. will be involved in Iran for an extended period of time is up 14 percentage points since late March, when 65% said this.

Americans continue to see the impacts of U.S. strikes in Iran in a negative light. Six in ten (60%) expect gas prices to get worse in the U.S. over the next year as a result of U.S. military action in Iran. Regional impacts are also seen negatively: 54% think the quality of life for people in Iran will get worse in the next year due to the conflict, compared with just 13% who think it will get better. Similarly, more think the stability of the Middle East will get worse rather than better over the next year (48% vs. 18%).

In general, more continue to disapprove (58%) than approve (37%) of the U.S. strikes in Iran, a balance of opinion that has been largely stable over the last four months. Consistent with these views, far more say that it has not been worth the U.S. taking military action in Iran than say it has been worth it (51% not worth it vs. 24% worth it); 23% say they are not sure.

About the Study

This poll was conducted July 10-12, 2026, 2026, by Ipsos using the probability-based KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,019 general population adults aged 18 or older.

The study was conducted in English. The data were weighted to adjust for gender by age, race and ethnicity, census region, metropolitan status, education, household income, 2024 vote choice and political party identification. Political party identification benchmarks are from the 2025 NPORS annual survey, with a midyear adjustment estimated across aggregated KnowledgePanel surveys accounting for changes in panelists’ party identification over time. The demographic benchmarks came from the 2025 March supplement of the U.S. Census Bureau’s Current Population Survey (CPS).

  • Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30–44, 45-59 and 60+)
  • Race/Hispanic Ethnicity (White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other, Non-Hispanic, Hispanic, 2+ Races, Non-Hispanic)
  • Education (Less than High School, High School, Some College, Bachelor’s degree, Master’s degree or higher)
  • Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West)
  • Metropolitan status (Metro, non-Metro)
  • Household Income (Under $25,000, $25,000-$49,999, $50,000-$74,999, $75,000-$99,999, $100,000-$149,999, $150,000+)
  • 2024 Vote Choice (Trump, Harris, Another candidate, Did not vote)
  • Political Party ID (Democrat, Lean Democrat, Republican, Lean Republican, Independent/Something else)

The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error takes into account the design effect, which was 1.42. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Alec Tyson
Senior Vice President, US
Public Affairs
[email protected]

About Ipsos

Ipsos is one of the largest market research and polling companies globally, operating in 90 markets and employing nearly 20,000 people.

Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. Our 75 business solutions are based on primary data from our surveys, social media monitoring, and qualitative or observational techniques.

“Game Changers” – our tagline – summarizes our ambition to help our 5,000 clients navigate with confidence our rapidly changing world.

Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has been listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120, Mid-60 indices, and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).

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The author(s)

  • Alec Tyson
    Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Ryan Tully
    Director, USPA, KnowledgePanel Plus
  • Johnny Sawyer
    Senior Research Manager, US, Public Affairs
  • Bernard Mendez
    Senior Data Journalist, US, Public Affairs

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