Washington, DC, September 25, 2018 – Nearly two years into his presidency, President Trump is seen to have played an active role in both federal taxes decreasing, and the federal deficit increasing. According to a new Ipsos poll, among Americans that believe these events have taken place, a majority believe President Trump is the main reason federal taxes for the wealthy and middle have decreased (87% and 84%, respectively), the federal deficit has increased (61%), and the stock market has reached record highs (56%). However, most Americans are unsure about whether these events have taken place; for example, just 29% say federal taxes for the middle class have decreased in 2018, and 45% believe the same to be true for the wealthy.
Overall, less than one in five Americans (18%) believes the aftermath to last year’s Hurricane Maria was handled well by the government. Only 7% of Democrats and 15% of Independents agree, while Republicans are evenly split on whether the government handled it well (39%) or not (37%). Furthermore, most Americans (56%) agree that President Trump’s response to Hurricane Maria has been very inadequate, including a third of Republicans (32%), half of independents (48%), and 84% of Democrats.
Looking back at the economy, a plurality of Americans (44%) believe the U.S. economy has not fully recovered from the Great Recession. Among the third of Americans (35%) that believe the economy has recovered from the Great Recession, more tend to be Republicans; 50% of Republicans agree with this sentiment, compared to 31% of Democrats and 33% of Independents. One in three Americans (34%) agrees that Donald Trump is responsible for the strongest American economy since the 1990s, while 43% disagree. With Democrats and Republicans evenly split on this sentiment (69% of Democrats disagree, 71% of Republicans agree), it’s Independents that tip the balance: 31% of Independents agree that Trump is responsible for a strong economy, while 45% disagree. Americans overall are evenly split on whether recent Republican tax cuts are the main thing driving the current strength in the U.S. economy (30% agree, 31% disagree).
About the Study
These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted September 19-20, 2018. For the survey, a sample of roughly 1,004 adults 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 361 Republicans, 344 Democrats, and 197 Independents.
The sample for this study was randomly drawn from Ipsos’ online panel (see link below for more info on “Access Panels and Recruitment”), partner online panel sources, and “river” sampling (see link below for more info on the Ipsos “Ampario Overview” sample method) and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsos uses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing a sample. After a sample has been obtained from the Ipsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standard procedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2013 American Community Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Post-hoc weights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, race/ethnicity, region, and education.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points for all respondents. Ipsos calculates a design effect (DEFF) for each study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish (1965). This study had a credibility interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n=1,004, DEFF=1.5, adjusted Confidence Interval=+/-5 percentage points).
The poll also has a credibility interval plus or minus 5.9 percentage points Republicans, 6.0 percentage points for Democrats, and 8.0 for Independents.
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For more information on this news release, please contact:
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
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Ipsos Public Affairs
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About Ipsos Public Affairs
Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.
With offices in 88 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.
Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.
Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,782.7 million in 2016.