European Union membership - trends

Q If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?

European Union membership - trends

Q If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?

Base: All All expressing an opinion
  Stay in Get out Don't know Stay in Get out
  % % % % %
25-26 October 1977† 47 42 11 53 47
24 May 1978† 43 48 9 47 53
29 March 1979† 32 60 8 35 65
March 1980† 26 65 8 29 71
19-23 March 1981† 33 58 9 36 64
March 1983† 36 55 9 40 60
7-8 June 1984† 45 44 11 51 49
12-16 September 1987† 47 39 13 55 45
19-23 October 1989† 60 29 11 67 33
November 1990† 62 28 9 68 32
21 June 1991† 63 27 10 70 30
4-5 December 1991‡ 60 29 11 67 33
5-6 June 1992‡ 52 35 13 60 40
10-13 June 1992* 53 32 16 62 38
21-25 October 1993* 46 39 15 54 46
11-30 April 1994 52 36 12 59 41
23-26 May 1996** 44 39 17 53 47
27-29 November 1996** 44 40 16 52 48
15 April 1997** 40 40 19 50 50
25-28 April 1997 44 41 15 52 48
2-3 October 1997** 44 37 19 54 46
13-14 November 1997** 49 35 16 58 42
25-30 June 1998** 47 40 13 54 46
21-24 May 1999 44 39 17 53 47
10-11 June 1999 41 37 22 53 47
13-14 October 1999 51 41 8 55 45
27-29 October 1999 42 45 13 48 52
22-27 June 2000 53 32 15 62 38
29-30 September 2000 43 46 11 48 52
24-25 November 2000 49 44 7 53 47
15-21 March 2001 39 42 19 48 52
30 April -1 May 2001 48 43 9 53 47
22 May 2001 43 41 16 51 49
20-22 June 2003 49 41 10 54 46
20-22 September 2007 51 39 10 56 44
22-24 October 2011 41 49 10 46 54
10-13 November 2012 44 48 8 48 52
10-12 May 2014 54  37  10  59 41 
 11-14 October 2014 56  36   61 39 

†Asked as "...stay in or get out of the Common Market..."

‡Asked as "I would like to ask you about Britain's role in the European Community. If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Community, how would you vote?"

*Asked as "...stay in or get out of the European Community (Common Market)..."

**Asked as "...stay in or get out of the European Union (Common Market)..."

Base: c. 500-2,000 GB adults aged 18+ except 1981 (Base: 1,990 GB adults aged 15+)

 

Q If there were a referendum now on whether Britain should stay in or get out of the European Union, how would you vote?

Base: All All expressing an opinion
  Stay in Get out Don't know Stay in Get out
  % % % % %
14-16 June 2015 61 27 12 69 31
17-19 October 2015  52 39  57 43 
12-14 December 2015  53  36  11   60  40 
 23-25 January 2016 50 38 12 57 43
 13-16 February 2016 51 36 13 59 41

Base: Asked of half the sample (c.500 GB adults aged 18+)

Q Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union?

Base: All All expressing an opinion
  Yes No Don't know Stay in Get out
  % % % % %
14-16 June 2015 66 22 12 75 25

Base: Asked of half the sample (c.500 GB adults aged 18+)

Q Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? (OFFICIAL REFERENDUM QUESTION)

Base: All All expressing an opinion
  Remain Leave Don't know Remain Leave
  % % % % %
17-19 October 2015 52 36 12 59 41
12-14 December 2015 58  32  10 64 36 
 23-25 January 2016 55 36 9 60 40
 13-16 February 2016 54 36 10 60 40

Base: Asked of half the sample (c.500 GB adults aged 18+)

 

Since the referendum date has been announced we have slightly modified the question to include a preamble reflecting this. We also now have a follow-up question asking which way the respondent would be most inclined to vote for those who are either undecided or refused, in line with how we ask our General Election question.

 

Q As you may  know the United Kingdom will have a referendum on its membership of the European Union on the 23rd of June this year. How will you vote on the question-

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union? (OFFICIAL REFERENDUM QUESTION)

Base: All All expressing an opinion
  Remain Leave Undecided / Refused Would not vote Remain Leave
  % % % % % %
19-22 March 2016 49 41 8 2 55 45
16-18 April 2016 49 39 8 3 56 44
 14-16 May 2016  55 37 5 3  60  40

Base: Asked of c. 1,000 GB adults aged 18+ each month

 

We have introduced some methodological changes, including educational attainment quotas and weights, and basing voting figures on all registered and with our standard turnout filter. See here for more information.

 

 

  All All expressing an opinion
  Remain Leave Undecided / Refused Remain Leave
  % % % % %
11-14th June 2016 43 49 8 47 53

Base: 979 all registered to vote and 9/10 certain to vote and always / usually / depends vote in general elections

See also index of our polls on European issues

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