Woman with shopping bags
Woman with shopping bags

Two in three Americans plan holiday cutbacks amid economic concerns

New Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Thrivent explores how Americans are responding to inflation and economic uncertainty this holiday season

Washington DC, October 28, 2026 - A new Ipsos poll conducted on behalf of Thrivent finds that rising prices and economic concerns are top of mind for many Americans headed into this holiday season. 

As Americans approach the holiday season, economic concerns are shaping how they plan to spend. More than half expect the current economic environment to affect their approach to holiday spending at least a fair amount, while nearly four in ten are more concerned about managing their holiday finances than in past years. Among those more concerned, rising prices are an increasingly prominent worry compared to last year.

In response, most Americans plan to scale back this holiday season. About two in three expect to cut back in at least one area, such as dining out, gifts, and travel. While the overall share who plan to cut back hasn't changed from 2025, some patterns look a bit different now. Namely, some Americans are more likely now to buy fewer gifts or purchase for fewer people. Inflation remains the leading negative influence on household finances, while the perceived negative impact of stock market performance, energy costs, and global economic conditions has increased.

About the Study

This poll was conducted by Ipsos on behalf of Thrivent Financial from September 29 – October 8, 2026, using the probability-based KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 2,158 general population Americans. In addition, an oversample was included in the Minneapolis Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) to achieve n=500 total completes. The sample for this MSA oversample came from a combination of KnowledgePanel and supplemental non-probability (opt-in panel) sample. The findings presented in the topline reflect the U.S. general population sample only.

 

The main survey was conducted using the web-enabled KnowledgePanel®, which is the largest and most well-established online panel that is representative of the adult US population. Our recruitment process employs a scientifically developed addressed-based sampling methodology using the latest Delivery Sequence File of the USPS – a database with full coverage of all delivery points in the US. Households are randomly selected from all available households in the U.S. Persons in these households are invited to join and participate in the web-enabled KnowledgePanel®. For those potential panel members who do not already have internet access, Ipsos provides a tablet and internet connection at no cost to the panel member. Those who join the panel and who are selected to participate in a survey are sent a unique password-protected log-in used to complete surveys online. As a result of our recruitment and sampling methods, samples from KnowledgePanel cover all households regardless of their phone or internet status and provide fully representative online samples to the research community.

 

The study was conducted in both English and Spanish. The U.S. gen pop data (KnowledgePanel 18+) were weighted to adjust adjusted to align with the following geodemographic distributions of the aged 18+ U.S. population using an iterative proportional fitting (raking) procedure. The demographic benchmarks came from 2024 American Community Survey (ACS) from the US Census Bureau. The weighting categories for the national, general population sample were as follows:

  • Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18-34, 35-49, 50-64, 65+)

  • Race-Ethnicity (White/Non-Hispanic, Black/Non-Hispanic, Other/Non-Hispanic, Hispanic, 2+ Races/Non-Hispanic)

  • Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West) by Metropolitan Status (Metro, Non-Metro)

  • Education (Less than High School, High School, Some College, Bachelor or higher)

  • Household Income (under $25K, $25-$49,999, $50K-$74,999, $75K-$99,999, $100K-$149,999, $150K and over)

  • Language Dominance (English Dominant Hispanic, Bilingual Hispanic, Spanish Dominant Hispanic, Non-Hispanic)

 

The target Minneapolis MSA oversample was weighted using a multi-step process to reflect the population characteristics of each area. First, design weights for KnowledgePanel (KP) MSA assignees were computed to reflect their selection probabilities. These design weights were then adjusted to align with geodemographic distributions of the aged 18+ MSA population using an iterative proportional fitting (raking) procedure, with benchmarks obtained from the 2024 American Community Survey (ACS). Next, opt-in MSA respondents were adjusted to align with both ACS geodemographic benchmarks and four calibration variables, with calibration benchmarks based on the weighted KnowledgePanel MSA respondents. Lastly, KP and opt-in respondents were combined based on their respective effective sample sizes and adjusted to final benchmarks. The weighting categories for the final combined MSA sample were as follows:

 

  • Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18-34, 35-49, 50-64, 65+)

  • Race-Ethnicity (White/Non-Hispanic, Black or Hispanic, Other or 2+ Races/Non-Hispanic )

  • Education (Less than High School/High School, Some College, Bachelor or higher)

  • Household Income (under $25K, $25-$49,999, $50K-$74,999, $75K-$99,999, $100K-$149,999, $150K and over)

  • Daily Television Viewing Watch TV (Less than 3 hours/day, 3+ hours/day)

  • Daily Personal Internet Usage (Less than 3 hours/week, 3+ hours/week) 

  • Express Political/Community Opinions Online (Not at all, less than once a month or more often)

  • Interest in Trying New Products (Not at all/Somewhat, A lot/Completely)

 

The margin of sampling error for the U.S. gen pop sample is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. The margin of sampling error takes into account the design effect, which was 1.06. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent. 

 

About Ipsos

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Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. Our 75 business solutions are based on primary data from our surveys, social media monitoring, and qualitative or observational techniques.

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The author(s)

  • Mallory Newall
    Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Dan O'Leary
    Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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