A brief observation from the data in our latest poll, published in the Sunday Telegraph at the weekend and based on telephone interviews conducted on 31 May-2 June (Thursday-Saturday).
MORI/Sunday Telegraph Survey
NOP/Sunday Times Poll
ICM/Observer Poll
ICM/News Of The World Marginals Survey
Tories Behind In Two Key Scottish Seats
Latest System Three Scottish Findings
ICM/Evening Standard National And London Poll
If the Conservatives do lose Thursday's election as comprehensively as the polls are continuing to indicate, the obvious question of William Hague's future as leader will not be able to be long postponed.
Never did I ever think I'd write the most trite poll story headline, but I'm tempted tonight, writing on the eve on the publication of three opinion polls in the Sunday newspapers: MORI in the Sunday Telegraph with 1,010 interviews nationwide conducted over the last couple of days, NOP in the Sunday Times with 1,000+ interviews, and ICM in the Observer also with just over 1,000, all done over the telephone.
Wow! Mild earthquake in the election polls. ICM has now brought this election to life in a poll for Channel 4, which I missed last night on the TV, being out to dinner with my family.
Labour's nightmare may be coming to haunt them the night of the 7th of June. In our survey for the Times a week ago (22nd May), there was just a few points difference between the Conservatives' 'certainty of voting', at 65%, and Labour's at 61%. That four-point gap is widening in our latest survey at the same time that the Labour share is reducing.
