New polling data from Ipsos in the UK, conducted 21-23 July 2026, reveals continued high levels of economic anxiety across the nation as Andy Burnham assumes office as Prime Minister.
Never did I ever think I'd write the most trite poll story headline, but I'm tempted tonight, writing on the eve on the publication of three opinion polls in the Sunday newspapers: MORI in the Sunday Telegraph with 1,010 interviews nationwide conducted over the last couple of days, NOP in the Sunday Times with 1,000+ interviews, and ICM in the Observer also with just over 1,000, all done over the telephone.
Wow! Mild earthquake in the election polls. ICM has now brought this election to life in a poll for Channel 4, which I missed last night on the TV, being out to dinner with my family.
Labour's nightmare may be coming to haunt them the night of the 7th of June. In our survey for the Times a week ago (22nd May), there was just a few points difference between the Conservatives' 'certainty of voting', at 65%, and Labour's at 61%. That four-point gap is widening in our latest survey at the same time that the Labour share is reducing.
MORI/Times Poll
Latest Gallup Findings
Turnout
Asians And Main Party Support
Leaders And Their Fictional Lookalikes
More ICM/Radio 1 Young Voter Findings
Europe And The Euro
Three of the "Big 4" pollsters have now pronounced for this week, and they have converged. All are near to the 50% Labour, 30% Conservative, 14% Liberal Democrat share of the vote that has been the result of nearly every poll conducted since 1st November last year. For the past six months, the state of the parties has been described as 'flat lining'. So it is today.
