Politics

Millennials overwhelmingly support Clinton over Trump (50% vs. 18%) according to Ipsos’ quarterly “Millennials” survey carried out for USA Today and Rock the Vote.

Forecasts based on data for 2000-2015. The objective is to provide a brief overview of Russia’s current social and economic situation; single out key political and economic events; study any changes in population strata and consumers’ behavior for 2000-2015 to forecast possible future trends.

“Trump may be showing the limits of the axiom ‘all press is good press’,” said Chris Jackson, VP at Ipsos. “While Donald Trump is dominating the media cycle, it is not helping his standing in our polls. With the public viewing Trump as unfavorably as ever (while Clinton enjoys a moment of relative positive regard), the Republican nominee has lost ground to his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll.

6 in 10 concerned about terrorists pretending to be refugees, and 4 in 10 want to close borders entirely.

Early in June, Ipsos presented at a seminar in Paris looking ahead to the forthcoming elections in the United States and France. The event, hosted by the US Embassy, saw Brice Teinturier (Ipsos Public Affairs, France) and Clifford Young (Ipsos Public Affairs, USA) describe the prevailing mood in their respective countries and what this means for the political scene.

A week after the Democratic National Convention – with a good amount of drama in the interim days – finds Clinton leading Trump by four points among Likely Voters, a one-point drop from last week. We’re likely to see Clinton’s “convention bump” recede a bit in the coming days, although the internal wrangling going on within the Republican Party could mean her bump sustains longer than normal.

The UK’s vote to leave the EU was a shock across the continent and beyond, and this survey shows it’s still something that many are coming to terms with. But there is not wholesale panic – in fact fears of a “domino effect” seem to be receding.

Temer's administration is regarded as bad or very bad for 48% of the population - worsening 5% vis-à-vis the month of June. Other evaluation indicators show significant deterioration.
As Dilma’s trial by the Senate approaches, the disapproval for acting President Michel Temer grows. Dilma’s approval grows for the fourth consecutive month.
Consumer confidence index drops 2 points, putting an end to three months of gradual increase. It is the first drop of the index for Temer’s administration. There is a growing sense of concern about the Brazilian future.

Ipsos in South Africa again delivered a very close forecast on the final local election results. At its latest release of its poll findings (released Monday 1 August), Ipsos suggested that the ANC would garner 54% of the votes, the DA 26% and the EFF 8%.