Political Monitor

SNP lead constituency voting intentions on 36% (+1 from early December).

Net likeability ratings for the Labour leader now equal Jeremy Corbyn’s previous low, while the party is less liked than any time in Ipsos trends going back to 2007. However, the party is still more liked than its leader – and more than the other parties.

Reform UK maintain +8-point lead over Labour, but this is down from +15 in November 2025.

The SNP continue to lead on Scottish Parliament voting intention, with 35% of the constituency vote share – a 17-point lead over Reform UK.

Reform UK maintain clear lead as Labour vote share falls to match the lowest ever recorded by Ipsos for the party in May 2009, after the expenses scandal and during the economic crisis (Ipsos first started recording vote intentions in 1976).

New data from Ipsos’ latest Political Monitor, taken before the Labour and Conservative Party conferences, shows the public are deeply sceptical about the Conservatives returning to government.

Reform UK leads by 12 pts over Labour as both PM and Chancellor hit historic low satisfaction ratings.

Labour’s 25% voting intention is the lowest share Ipsos has recorded for Labour since October 2019.

Why Ipsos is shifting to online random probability KnowledgePanel for Voting Intention polling.