Two weeks out from Election Day and it looks like the race for the White House is all but over. However, if it looks like pollsters are increasingly on the wrong side of history (Colombia’s referendum, Brexit, the 2015 British election and the Scottish referendum) it could be because they need to triple and quadruple check their assumptions before making blithe pronouncements. This is that type of thought exercise.
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With less than two weeks to go until election day, the battle for the White House is essentially unchanged with Hillary Clinton leading among likely voters in the mid-single digits. Donald Trump’s high unfavorability ratings make it hard to see his path to victory with the little time remaining.
Hillary Clinton is moving into an increasingly strong position in the electoral college with the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation poll showing her up in states equal to 322 electoral college votes.
US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton is still faring better than her rival in the eyes of the British public, new findings from Ipsos’s Political Monitor show.
The survey included questions related to infrastructure - road, rail and air networks, utilities such as energy and water, and broadband and other communications. It has provided attitudinal and ‘satisfaction’ data across 26 countries.
Here are the results for Great Britain.
Ipsos presented at the Embassy of the United States of America, in Paris, the climate of opinion before the presidential elections in France and in the US.
Three weeks out from election day the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Clinton’s bump from the last week or so receding just in time for the third debate. The effects of Trump’s “hot mike” incident and second debate performance appear to have subsided somewhat, and the election has reverted back to pre-debate levels.
Donald Trump’s rough performance over the last few weeks has helped Hillary Clinton move into a winning position. Clinton now leads in enough states to win the electoral college outright, even without the remaining tossup states.
Recognising that the consumer’s path to purchase is more convoluted and more complex than ever before, Ipsos Marketing has launched LIFE Path to help clients understand and impact consumer choices along their journey.