Politics

Overall, across the 25 countries as a whole, people are more likely to think things in their country are off on the wrong track (61%), than headed in the right direction (39%). Most pessimistic are Mexico and France, 89% of whom think things are going wrong, and Brazil (84%).

Last night was a difficult one for political pollsters in the United States, including Ipsos. Almost without exception, the major polling agencies and their media partners predicted that Hillary Clinton would win both the Electoral College and the popular vote. As we all know now, Donald Trump won the Electoral College and is at a near-even split on the popular vote (counting continues).

Our last pre-election poll shows Hillary Clinton building back some of the lead lost in the wake of Comey’s initial letter to Congress. This data paired with the state-level data from our final States of the Nation poll mean we put Clinton’s odds at 90% of winning the White House tomorrow.

Starting the last pre-election weekend, this election is closing as undecided and third party voters come home to the major candidates, more to Trump’s benefit than Clinton’s.

Most citizens around the world believe Hillary Clinton will win the upcoming U.S. presidential election, though Donald Trump is seen as the favorite by the people of a few countries. Clinton leads by very large margins in Latin American countries, while Eastern Europe shows higher support for Trump.

With less than a week to go, the general election matchup has remained stable – despite last Friday’s final October surprise. Clinton and Trump have both seen their favorability ratings improve as partisans are coming home for the big day while undecided voters continue to decline as a share of the electorate.

Even before Anthony Weiner reappeared, the national race was reverting back to its normal balance with Hillary Clinton holding leads in a smaller – though still sufficient to win -- list of states.

Two weeks out from Election Day and it looks like the race for the White House is all but over. However, if it looks like pollsters are increasingly on the wrong side of history (Colombia’s referendum, Brexit, the 2015 British election and the Scottish referendum) it could be because they need to triple and quadruple check their assumptions before making blithe pronouncements. This is that type of thought exercise.

With less than two weeks to go until election day, the battle for the White House is essentially unchanged with Hillary Clinton leading among likely voters in the mid-single digits. Donald Trump’s high unfavorability ratings make it hard to see his path to victory with the little time remaining.