Politics

The Reuters/Ipsos Presidential Debate Special was released today.

Donald Trump is having a bad week. Favorability scores of the Republican have declined since release of the 2005 audiotapes and Hillary Clinton maintains a sizable lead in national polls. However, Trump’s support level has not dropped since last week indicating there may be a floor to his potential losses.

The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation data was released today.

In September, the perception regarding the country’s direction has stagnated at a negative level. Evaluation of Temer’s administration drops 4% in the bad/very bad indicators, but it does not convert to good/very good.

Hillary Clinton has had a good run in polling since the 1st debate. She has solidified her lead and improved her favourability ratings. Trump, on the other hand, has had a rough go lately. However, the adverse news cycles have not significantly depressed his favorability ratings or vote share relative to just before the 1st debate.

While Hillary Clinton won the debate and has enjoyed a bit of a resurgence in the national polling, in the most crucial battlegrounds the race is still a tossup. There are enough electoral college votes in those tossup states to put either Clinton or Donald Trump over the top – though Clinton remains in a stronger position.

While Hillary Clinton is something of a consensus winner of Monday’s debate, it hasn’t really impacted the race. She led going into the debates, did well, and leads coming out.

It looks like Hillary Clinton recovered from her pneumonia and Donald Trump caught the sniffles just in time for the first debate. In our pre-debate polling, Clinton held a lead over Trump. We’ll know later today if that lead has changed with our post- debate release.

Hillary Clinton holds a small electoral college advantage going into tonight’s big fight, er, debate. However, her lead in several key states is slim and a rough performance tonight could open several paths to 270 for Donald Trump as many states remain tossups.