Politics

Ipsos presented at the Embassy of the United States of America, in Paris, the climate of opinion before the presidential elections in France and in the US.

Three weeks out from election day the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Clinton’s bump from the last week or so receding just in time for the third debate. The effects of Trump’s “hot mike” incident and second debate performance appear to have subsided somewhat, and the election has reverted back to pre-debate levels.

Donald Trump’s rough performance over the last few weeks has helped Hillary Clinton move into a winning position. Clinton now leads in enough states to win the electoral college outright, even without the remaining tossup states.

The majority (62%) of people around the world think things in their country are on the wrong track.
Unemployment currently occupies the top spot for global concern with 38% saying this.

The Reuters/Ipsos Presidential Debate Special was released today.

Donald Trump is having a bad week. Favorability scores of the Republican have declined since release of the 2005 audiotapes and Hillary Clinton maintains a sizable lead in national polls. However, Trump’s support level has not dropped since last week indicating there may be a floor to his potential losses.

The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation data was released today.

In September, the perception regarding the country’s direction has stagnated at a negative level. Evaluation of Temer’s administration drops 4% in the bad/very bad indicators, but it does not convert to good/very good.

Hillary Clinton has had a good run in polling since the 1st debate. She has solidified her lead and improved her favourability ratings. Trump, on the other hand, has had a rough go lately. However, the adverse news cycles have not significantly depressed his favorability ratings or vote share relative to just before the 1st debate.