Four in ten (43%) Canadians age 18-34 would vote to be American if citizenship and conversion of assets to USD guaranteed

A strong majority of Canadians agree that Canada should remain independent in spite of Donald Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the US’s 51st state.

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  • Darrell Bricker Global CEO, Public Affairs
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TWO IN TEN CANADIANS WOULD VOTE FOR THEIR PROVINCE TO BE AMERICAN IF QC, AB BECAME INDEPENDENT

 

Around two in ten  (22%) would vote for their own province to become part of the US if Alberta or Quebec became independent states. For some, the disintegration of Canada as a unified nation is inevitable: one in five (20%) feel it is only a matter of time before Canada and the US merge  (80% disagree), and just over one-quarter (27%) believe Quebec, Alberta, or both will separate from the rest of Canada within the next ten years.

 

A strong majority of Canadians agree that Canada should remain independent in spite of Donald Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the US’s 51st state, though three in ten (30%) would consider annexation if offered US citizenship and conversion of Canadian financial assets to US dollars.  More Canadians think Trump's comments pose a serious risk to Canada’s independence (48%) than think that his comments shouldn’t be treated as serious (43%).

Around two in ten  (22%) would vote for their own province to become part of the US if Alberta or Quebec became independent states.
For some, the disintegration of Canada as a unified nation is inevitable: one in five (20%) feel it is only a matter of time before Canada and the US merge  (80% disagree), and just over one-quarter (27%) believe Quebec, Alberta, or both will separate from the rest of Canada within the next ten years.
 

43% agree Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the US’s 51st state shouldn’t be treated as serious. 48% agree Trump’s comments make them think that Canada’s future as an independent country is in serious jeopardy.

 

YOUNGER CANADIANS MORE LIKELY TO THINK CANADIAN INDEPENDECE AT RISK


In light of Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the 51st US state, older Canadians express greater Canadian patriotism and agreement that they would never vote to merge the two countries. Younger Canadians are more likely to see a real risk to Canada’s independence, to see the merging of the two countries as inevitable, and to be willing to vote toward becoming American if Canadians were offered full US citizenship and conversion of financial assets into US dollars. Younger Canadians are also more likely to see Alberta and Quebec’s separation from the rest of Canada as a foregone conclusion.

In light of Trump’s comments about Canada becoming the 51st US state, older Canadians express greater Canadian patriotism and agreement that they would never vote to merge the two countries.

 

About the study


These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between January 9 and 13, 2025, on behalf of Global News. For this survey, a sample of 1,000 Canadians aged 18+ was interviewed online. Quotas and weighting were employed to ensure that the sample’s composition reflects that of the Canadian population according to census parameters. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Canadians aged 18+ been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error.


For more information on this news release, please contact:
Darrell Bricker, PhD
CEO, Ipsos Global Public Affairs
+1 416 324 2001
[email protected]

 

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The author(s)
  • Darrell Bricker Global CEO, Public Affairs

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