Holyrood and Westminster Voting Intentions in Scotland - August 2010

Public Sector

Labour overtakes SNP in Holyrood voting intentions according to Ipsos Scotland's latest public opinion poll

 

Following a strong showing in the May General Election in Scotland, Labour's support has continued to increase in voting intentions for next year's Holyrood elections. Among those certain to vote, Scottish Labour currently sit on 37% of the constituency vote, an increase of 8 percentage points since the Ipsos poll of February 2010. In contrast, each of the other main parties have seen a decline in support during the same period, the SNP currently sit on 34% (down 2%), the Scottish Liberal Democrats are on 13% (also down 2%), while the Scottish Conservatives are down 3% to 11%.

Labour's strong showing is reinforced by voting intentions for the Holyrood list vote, where they are currently polling 38% among those certain to vote, followed by the SNP on 29%. The Conservatives and Liberal Democrats both sit on 12%, with the Scottish Greens on 5% and other parties on 4%.

A similar picture emerges among voting intentions for Westminster elections. Among those certain to vote, Labour have 40%, which is an increase of 4 percentage points since Ipsos's pre-election poll in April 2010. The SNP have also seen an increase in support during the same period, up 3% to 29%, while the Conservative share has held on 14%. The Liberal Democrats, however, have seen their share of the vote fall by 7 percentage points, down from 20% in April to 13% in August.

Technical Note

  • Results are based on a survey of 1,013 respondents160conducted by telephone between 16th August and 19th August160
  • Data are weighted by age, sex and working status using census data, and tenure using SHS 2007-2008 data.160
  • An asterisk (*) indicates a percentage of less than 0.5% but greater than 0.160
  • Where results do not sum to 100, this may be due to multiple responses or computer rounding.160
  • Where the base size is less than 30 the number (N) rather than the percentage of respondents is given.160
  • Results are based on all respondents (1,013) unless otherwise stated.

160

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