MORI Political Monitor April - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,947 adults aged 18+ at 196 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 15-19 April 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: 1,947 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 31 |
| Labour | 40 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 21 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 3 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 2 |
| Lab lead (177%) | +9 |
| Would not vote | 14 |
| Undecided | 11 |
| Refused | 1 |
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All absolutely certain to vote (1,045)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 34 |
| Labour | 36 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 22 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 3 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 2 |
| Lab lead (177%) | +2 |
| Would not vote | * |
| Undecided | 8 |
| Refused | 1 |
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job?
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | % | |
| Government | 26 | 65 | 9 | -39 |
| Blair | 31 | 61 | 8 | -30 |
| Howard | 28 | 30 | 42 | -2 |
| Kennedy | 38 | 25 | 37 | +13 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today?Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today?
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+
| Q7 | Q7/8 | |
|---|---|---|
| % | % | |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 30 | 47 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 20 | 36 |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 9 | 34 |
| Education/schools | 6 | 29 |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 6 | 19 |
| Pensions/social security | 1 | 10 |
| Economy/economic situation | 4 | 9 |
| Common Market/EU/Europe/Single European Currency | 3 | 9 |
| Housing | 1 | 8 |
| Taxation | 2 | 7 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 7 |
| Poverty/inequality | 1 | 6 |
| Transport/public transport | * | 5 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | 2 | 4 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 1 | 4 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 3 |
| Drug abuse | * | 3 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
| Local government/council tax | * | 2 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 2 |
| Pollution/environment | 0 | 2 |
| AIDS | * | 1 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | 0 | 1 |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | * | * |
| Northern Ireland | * | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | * | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | * | * |
| Animal welfare | 0 | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | 0 | * |
| Privatisation | 0 | * |
| Trade unions/strikes | 0 | * |
| Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | 0 | 0 |
| Other | 4 | 13 |
| Don't know | 4 | 3 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?
Base: 1,004 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Improve | 15 |
| Stay the same | 47 |
| Get worse | 33 |
| Don't know | 5 |
| MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -18 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?
Base: 1,947 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| 10 - absolutely certain to vote | 53 |
| 9 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 |
| 4 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 - absolutely certain not to vote | 12 |
| Don't know | 2 |
| Refused | * |