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MORI Political Monitor
MORI's latest Political Monitor, conducted between 24 and 29 June 2004, shows that the public remain dissatisfied with the performance of Tony Blair as Prime Minister, but this is not translating into support for either Michael Howard or the Conservative Party. While, by a margin of around two to one, the public are dissatisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job (61% to 30%), Labour retain a lead of 3 points over the Conservatives. At the same time, there has been a sharp rise in dissatisfaction with Michael Howard as leader of the Opposition. In November 2003, MORI's first poll undertaken after the Conservative leadership election showed that 26% of the public were satisfied with Michael Howard and 17% dissatisfied — the majority giving "don't know" (57%). The latest survey shows that still 26% of people say they are satisfied with Michael Howard, but 38% are dissatisfied as the number of people not expressing an opinion decreases.
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MORI Political Monitor
MORI's latest Political Monitor results show that Labour (35%) retain a small lead over the Conservatives (34%) in terms of voting intentions at an immediate General Election, among those who say they are "absolutely certain to vote". In the run-up to the local, Mayoral and European elections on June 10th, the main issues seen to be facing Britain are Defence/foreign affairs (47%), NHS (34%) and race relations/immigration (30%). Europe is mentioned by 17% of the public (in 7th place). In contrast, during the last European Parliament elections in June 1999, Europe was then seen by the public as the most important issue facing the country (mentioned by 37% of the public), followed by NHS (35%) and education (29%).
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MORI Political Monitor - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,863 adults aged 18+ at 192 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 27 May-1 June 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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New Labour And Delivery
Received political wisdom is that modern governments, especially the present British government, are and will be judged by the public on whether they have "delivered". So "Has New Labour delivered?" will, it is suggested, be the key question on which the outcome of the next general election may turn (assuming, of course, that the opposition has regained a sufficient degree of political credibility for anybody to take them seriously as an alternative). Sir Robert Worcester analyses.
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UK Independence Party Research
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
If undecided or refused at Q1
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? -
MORI Political Monitor April - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,947 adults aged 18+ at 196 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 15-19 April 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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MORI Political Monitor - Analysis
MORI's latest Political Monitor finds, for the fourth successive month, very little difference between Labour and the Conservatives. Labour has regained a slight lead, but the general picture is one of stability. By a two to one margin, the public remain critical of the way Tony Blair is doing his job. This has not translated into higher levels of satisfaction with Michael Howard; his satisfaction rating now stands at -2, the lowest this year.
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MORI Political Monitor - Political Attitudes in Great Britain
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,989 adults aged 18+ at 208 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 11-16 March 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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MORI Political Monitor Analysis - Defence / Terrorism Hit New High As Labour And Conservatives Are Neck And Neck
The terrorist attacks in Madrid last week have had an immediate impact on British public opinion, according to MORI's latest Political Monitor. Asked unprompted to name the most important issues facing Britain today, more of the public mention defence and terrorism (41%) than any other issue. This is the first time since March 2003, then at the height of the Iraq War, that defence/terrorism has been seen as the most important issues facing the country.
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Voters Happy to Stick With the MPC
The Chancellor will refresh his verdict on the economic case for EMU entry in the Budget. We expect him again to rule out EMU entry, although doubtless with some sugar-coated language about gradual convergence.