Scottish Politics January-April 2005

The MORI Scotland survey was conducted for STV face-to-face on 26 January-5 April 2005. A two stage random sampling process was used in which 92 clusters of addresses were drawn from the Post Code address file, and across these, a total of 1,748 randomly sampled addresses were allocated to interviewers. A total of 957 interviews were achieved with adults aged 16 and over selected at random within participating households, a response rate of 60%, after adjusting for deadwood in the sample. The data here are filtered on those aged 18 and over, a total of 934 respondents. Data have been weighted by local authority (geographic distribution), sex and age.

The 'voting intention' figures are presented in two ways -- the responses of all eligible adults, along with the responses of only those who said that they were 'certain to vote' in the election.

Topline Results

Westminster

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF WOULD NOT VOTE, UNDECIDED OR REFUSED Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

52% said that they were certain to vote in a Westminster election

Holyrood 1st vote

Q3 In elections for the Scottish Parliament you have two votes. Your first vote is for a person to represent the constituency, like in elections for the Westminster Parliament. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, how would you use your first vote? IF WOULD NOT VOTE, UNDECIDED OR REFUSED Q4 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Holyrood 2nd vote

Q5 Your second vote for the Scottish Parliament is for a list of candidates put up by each party, or single individuals who stand to represent your region of Scotland. You can vote for the same party as you did with your first vote, or vote differently. If there were elections to the Scottish Parliament tomorrow, which how would you use your second vote? IF WOULD NOT VOTE, UNDECIDED OR REFUSED Q6 Who would you be most inclined to support?

49% said that they were certain to vote in a Holyrood election

The following questions were published by STV on 31st March 2005 are based on 785 interviews.

Q7-10 Do you think Jack McConnell is doing a good or bad job as First Minister? Do you think Jim Wallace is doing a good or bad job as leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrat Party? Do you think the way David McLetchie is doing a good or bad job as leader of the Scottish Conservative Party Do you think Alex Salmond is doing a good or bad job as leader of the Scottish Nationalist Party?