Wirral South Re-Call

Public Sector

How do you intend to vote at the General Election on May 1? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Which party are you most inclined to support?

 
  • MORI On-Line interviewed 700 adults aged 18+ by telephone in Wirral South on 19-20 April 1997
  • Respondents had previously been interviewed in polls at the start of the Wirral South by-election campaign and immediately following the February by-election
  • Data are weighted to be representative by population and politics
  • An asterisk (*) denotes a figure between zero and 0.5%.
  • Base: All unless stated

Q1 How do you intend to vote at the General Election on May 1? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Conservative 36%
Labour 54%
Liberal Democrats 8%
Referendum Party 1%
Other 1%
Would not vote 2%
Undecided 6%
Refused 3%

Q3 Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

  All Con Lab Lib Dem
  % % % %
Certain to vote 73 71 78 81
Very likely to vote 12 16 12 9
Quite likely to vote 3 3 2 3
Not very likely to vote 1 * 1 0
Certain not to vote 10 10 8 6
Don't know * - - -

Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the PARTY NAMED AT Q1/2, or is there a chance that you may change your mind before you vote? Base: 624

  Jan(1) Now
  % %
Definitely decided 72 81
May change mind 27 19
Don't know 1 *
(1) By-election specified in question

Q5 I would now like you to think about the record of the Conservative government over the last five years. On balance, would you say that it has done a good job or a bad job on each of the following...?

  Good job Bad job Neither Don't know Net good Jan net good
  % % % % ± ±
Managing the economy 50 35 11 4 +15 +2
Improving schools 21 60 14 5 -39 -45
Dealing with unemployment 32 55 11 2 -23 -30
Reducing poverty 19 63 12 6 -44 -50
Improving the health service 21 66 11 2 -45 -50
Tackling crime 31 47 17 4 -16 -18
Representing Britain in Europe 43 36 12 8 +7 -5

Q6 Now, thinking about John Major, the Prime Minister, and Tony Blair, the leader of the Labour Party, which of the two do you think would be best at...?

    Major Blair Neither Both Don't know
    % % % % %
Understanding Britain's problems
  January 28 43 15 6 8
  Now 30 51 9 4 6
Handling Britain's economy
  January 38 34 14 3 11
  Now 39 42 9 2 8
Representing Britain in Europe
  January 37 36 12 3 12
  Now 44 39 9 2 7

Q7 Regardless of how you intend to vote, which party do you think will win the General Election and form the next government?

  Feb/Mar Now
  % %
Conservative 12 8
Labour 79 82
Liberal Democrats 0 *
No overall majority for any party 2 3
Don't know 6 7

Q8 On balance, do you think that will be good for you and your family, bad for you and your family, or do you think it will not really make any difference?

  Feb/Mar Now All thinking Lab will win (579)
  % % %
Good 41 39 42
Bad 16 19 19
Neither good nor bad 35 36 34
Don't know 8 7 5

Q9 And if the Conservative Party were to announce that it would not take Britain into a single European currency with the first group of countries, how would you vote on May 1st? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Which party are you most inclined to support?

  Q9 Voting intention as at Q1/2
  % %
Conservative 43 36
Labour 49 54
Liberal Democrats 6 8
Green * *
Referendum Party 1 1
Other 1 1
Would not vote 2 2
Undecided 6 6
Refused 2 3

Technical details

MORI On-Line interviewed 700 adults aged 18+ by telephone in Wirral South on 19-20 April 1997 Respondents had previously been interviewed in polls at the start of the Wirral South by-election campaign and immediately following the February by-election All figures are in percentages. Where percentages do not sum to 100, this may be due to multiple responses, the exclusion of don't knows or computer rounding. An asterisk (*) denotes a figure between zero and 0.5%.

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